Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.395672 0.432951 0.472762 0.518538 0.569839 0.625692 0.691285
2025-12-07 0.329972 0.381170 0.439598 0.511622 0.598574 0.700863 0.831337
2025-12-14 0.291142 0.348506 0.416922 0.505332 0.617716 0.757382 0.946577
2025-12-21 0.258163 0.317491 0.390671 0.488765 0.618632 0.787287 1.027265
2025-12-28 0.242409 0.305499 0.385746 0.497010 0.650023 0.857213 1.166363
2026-01-04 0.228650 0.294362 0.380221 0.502884 0.677422 0.922905 1.305617
2026-01-11 0.215984 0.283338 0.373469 0.505737 0.699854 0.982560 1.441698
2026-01-18 0.204653 0.273070 0.366625 0.507331 0.719816 1.039521 1.579262
2026-01-25 0.195611 0.265192 0.362294 0.511782 0.743792 1.104065 1.735884
2026-02-01 0.183345 0.251849 0.349077 0.501699 0.744100 1.130750 1.831409
2026-02-08 0.175905 0.244941 0.344657 0.504410 0.764385 1.191094 1.992146
2026-02-15 0.167531 0.236104 0.336705 0.500836 0.773850 1.233753 2.125601
2026-02-22 0.161233 0.230105 0.332808 0.503622 0.794455 1.298229 2.310230
2026-03-01 0.153183 0.221004 0.323582 0.497073 0.798571 1.333885 2.443788
2026-03-08 0.145927 0.212708 0.315075 0.490998 0.802785 1.369757 2.582201
2026-03-15 0.137082 0.201479 0.301266 0.475001 0.787896 1.368202 2.641501
2026-03-22 0.133954 0.199085 0.301495 0.482962 0.817020 1.453565 2.901045
2026-03-29 0.130566 0.196075 0.300502 0.488634 0.842231 1.533683 3.161368
2026-04-05 0.126834 0.192307 0.298004 0.491389 0.862004 1.604686 3.411761
2026-04-12 0.123115 0.188367 0.294981 0.492928 0.879431 1.672474 3.665455
2026-04-19 0.120115 0.185464 0.293540 0.497224 0.902595 1.754876 3.970148
2026-04-26 0.114889 0.178596 0.284903 0.487490 0.896462 1.772217 4.107519
2026-05-03 0.112027 0.175598 0.282863 0.490107 0.915984 1.849170 4.419742